Updated July 2017
San Francisco Real Estate: The Paragon Mid-Year ReportHighest median home prices ever; a new peak in SF luxury home sales;the huge, new-construction pipeline; SF neighborhood home prices and trends;San Francisco & Bay Area home price maps July 2017 ------------------------------------------------------------A Very Hot Spring SF Median Sales Price Appreciationby Quarter...
In the first quarter of 2016, various market segments in the city began to trend in significantly different directions. Houses, especially those below $2 million, are still often selling in a frenzy of bidding: Recent reports of houses selling with 5, 10 or more competing offers are not uncommon, especially in neighborhoods considered more affordable (by San Francisco standards). Demand remains very high, supply remains extremely low, and new house...
Mortgage Interest Rate TrendsShort-Term Changes since the Fed Raised Rates
Seasonality & the Spring MarketOverbidding by Month
San Francisco Real Estate Market Report March 2016 Including 13 custom charts San Francisco Median Home Sales PricesCombined House & Condo Sales, by Month
Chart: Median Price Trends since 1993
Chart: Case-Shiller Metro Area Home Price Index
Monthly and seasonal fluctuations in median sales prices are quite normal and do not...
San Francisco Median Condo Price Appreciation2011 to 2015, by Neighborhood
Median sales price is a very general statistic, often concealing an enormous variety of values in the underlying individual sales. It can be and often is affected by other factors besides changes in fair market value, such as changes in the inventory available to purchase, and major changes in the distressed property, luxury home, or new condo construction segments. Sometimes...
Median sales price is a very general statistic, often concealing an enormous variety of values in the underlying individual sales. It can be and often is affected by other factors besides changes in fair market value, such as changes in the inventory available to purchase, and major changes in the distressed property, luxury home, or new home construction segments. Sometimes...
The San Francisco Real Estate Market in 2015Illustrating the Year in 20+ Charts
A neighborhood map of San Francisco is included at the bottom of this report for your convenience.
Quarterly Median Price Chart & Monthly Median Price Chart & Sales by Price Range Chart
Despite anxiety about interest rates, stock markets, junk bonds, housing affordability and over-valued unicorns, the Q4 2015 San Francisco median house and condo sales...
Heading into the Holiday Slowdown After an Interesting Autumn Market
December 2015 update, including 11 custom charts
Median home prices, over-bidding, housing affordability, luxury home sales, the new-home construction pipeline, and comparing the Shanghai and S&P 500 stock indices
Median sales prices in October and November jumped back up to levels similar to the spring peak selling season. It’s important to remember that median prices are not a perfect reflection...
San Francisco New Home Construction UpdateNovember 2015
The SF Planning Department just released updated Q3 information regarding the new-housing development pipeline. San Francisco is in the midst of one of its biggest new-housing construction booms in history. (The same is occurring on the commercial development side, but this report won’t deal with that.) Indeed, it often seems that new projects of one kind or another are being announced...
Luxury Home Segment Cools Down“Affordable” Homes Market Remains Competitive
A number of reasons may explain this: Firstly, the affluent are much more invested in the stock market than other groups, and the volatility of late August, early September may have encouraged more wealthy homeowners to sell (before things might possibly get worse), and more wealthy homebuyers to postpone buying until things clarified.As of very early November, the S&P 500 has...
Home-Buying vs. Gold & Apple Stock – as an Investment, Median Home Price Appreciation & Neighborhood Values& the City’s Most Expensive Condo BuildingsOctober 2015 Report, including 11 Custom Charts
A wide range of other reports pertinent to SF real estate values and trends can be found here: San Francisco Market Reports and San Francisco Neighborhood Values
Short-Term & Long-Term San Francisco Home Price Appreciation
2011 – 2015, by...
September is historically the month San Francisco sees the greatest number of new listings come on the market, and this year it hasn’t disappointed! Since the 1st of the month, more than 800 single-family homes and condos have hit the market, blowing last year’s count out of the water. Further sweetening the situation for prospective home buyers, there are more condos for sale now than any time in the past...
This past week, 2470 Broadway in Pacific Heights came on the market in San Francisco with a $6,995,000 list price. Purchased by the current owner in 1976 for $176,000, this price represents a nearly 10% average annual appreciation. It’s a story not dissimilar to that of the former Alioto mansion at 2898 Vallejo, purchased in 1973 for $225,000 and sold in 2013 for $11,700,000. These long-term real estate holdings with appreciation rates well...
Against Backdrop of Market Volatility
September 2015 Report for San Francisco
Including 12 custom charts
We are neither blithe optimists, for whom boom times will never end, nor inveterate pessimists, who see bubbles and crashes behind every shrub. For what it’s worth, based on our survey of current economic fundamentals, we don’t expect an imminent crash in the U.S. stock market or in Bay Area real estate values...
August 2015 Special Report
A city neighborhood map is provided at the bottom of this analysis.
The charts below are based upon 2015 transactions reported to MLS by July 24, breaking out the neighborhoods with the most sales within given price points. However, other neighborhoods not listed did have smaller numbers of home sales within...
